New month – New SmartSigger

By lhourahane profile (Flickr) [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons


It is March and Cheltenham is upon us. Coincindentally this months issue of SmartSigger is titled Cheltenham Special  in preparation for the festival. Main point being article about key trends for each race over the four day festival.

My own article for the month is about beaten favourites and if there is any money to be made with that information. Most interesting finding for me was the big difference between top and bottom success rates for trainers when their beaten favourites run again. For full list you need to subscribe the magazine but below I present top and bottom five trainers based on strikerates.

 

 

 

Top 5

TrainerWinnersRunnersSR%P/LROT%VSPVSP%
J Ferguson257035.71%53.6676.66%11.4133.91%
D Lanigan175034.00%45.1090.20%2.8515.25%
A O'Brien5619528.72%-34.12-17.50%-5.20-4.10%
W Mullins8329428.23%21.847.43%-6.43-3.77%
N Henderson5921127.96%16.167.66%3.113.07%

Bottom 5

TrainerWinnersRunnersSR%P/LROT%VSPVSP%
M Dods8829.76%-42.91-52.33%-8.45-44.05%
H Candy5539.43%-36.09-68.10%-3.76-24.06%
R Harris4666.06%-20.45-30.99%-2.71-37.34%
Mrs R Carr3545.56%-37.74-69.88%-6.29-63.85%
Richard Guest51134.42%-72.53-64.18%-7.47-55.23%