Chester May Festival – Day 3 bets

Today we found a winner. Maverick Wave took a nice win in the first one. And Dark Ruler was not that far away either, came third two lengths from winner.

Maverick Wave WIN @ 5.52
Dark Ruler LOSE @ 7.82

Final day gives us again two bets

16:20 Gatepost
17:25 Two Jabs

I think I’ll do one more blogpost about Chester and will look at how my top rated did in all races ran over the festival.

Chester May Festival – Day 2 bets

Well, that didn’t go well. Two losing bets from two selections. Secateur went out as favourite and seemed to be doing well until the final few furlongs of the race. Mappin Time was nowhere throughout the whole race.

That is now in the past, lets’ look at tomorrow then. Again two selections, same as today.

14:40 Maverick Wave
17:25 Dark Ruler

And as was the case today, both are 1pt win bets.

Chester May Festival – Day 1 bets

This is something that I have been planning to do for a while now, public festival bets that is. While you can pay for some festival tips, for example Betfan is running a festival special for Chester, I still prefer trying to do it myself.

Anyway, for the first day I only have two bets, both 1pt win bets.

Chester 15:45 Mappin Time
Chester 17:25 Secateur

Both are result of my bayesian system, and while the system rates all of the days races and I could present a selection to each race, I do like to add a bit of human touch, namely to check that data looks consistent and that I can stand by the results of my might algorithm.

Expanding to Twitter

I have extended my media empire to Twitter! Have been doing it for a few weeks now and realized that I haven’t actually mentioned it here at all. Well, you can find my betting related tweets at @racealyst.

This is still a bit of a learning process as I try to figure out the best way to use this additional outlet. But one thing that I might repeat is something that I did ad hoc today, live tweeting tips as races unfold. This wasn’t something that I planned on doing, but planetary bodies aligned and I got the idea today before the 18:40 race at Wolverhampton and proceeded to share my selections until the last race of the day.

Laura B 2nd.

Flicka’s Boy won @ 4.5.

First Rebellion 7th.

Dialogue 4th.

Smart Motive 2nd.

Ninepointsixthree 7th.

Moulin Rouge 5th.

This was surprisingly fun to do. And while doing this I got an idea of challenging some other twitter tipster for a evening tip battle some night in the future, that could be entertaining. Let’s see what happens.

Fun as this was, it wasn’t exactly profitable with only one winner from 7 bets and a loss of -2.5 points.

My Grand National outsiders

For Grand National I have decided to go with no less than seven selections, all with odds well in excess of 20/1.

These selections are:

  1. Portrait King
  2. Royale Knight
  3. Godsmejudge
  4. Pineau De Re
  5. Ely Brown
  6. Rebel Rebellion
  7. The Rainbow Hunter

Lets see how this goes.

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